Bitcoin price is nowhere near setting new all-time highs, but an important long-term price average is doing so, day after day, month after month.
What is this moving average being referenced, and what does it setting new highs potentially mean?
Meet The Moving Train: The 50-Month Moving Average
As Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market grind painfully sideways, a key measure using a moving average of BTCUSD price action is rising steadily, now at its highest point ever historically.
The moving average in reference is the 50-month moving average (50MA). To calculate the span, simply take the last 50 months’ worth of BTCUSD closing prices, add them together, then divide them by 50 (the number of months’ worth of data in the period).
Traders use moving averages for a variety of reasons. This includes a trend-following tool, such as trend lines, and timing entries and exits. Such signals trigger when price passes above or below the span, or if two moving averages crossover one another in a two-moving average system. These are called the golden cross or death cross.
#Bitcoin’s 50-month moving average continues to set new record highs
Without all the noise, the primary trend points upward pic.twitter.com/HG8gjO3Gn6
— Tony “The Bull” (@tonythebullBTC) August 2, 2023
What The 50MA Hitting ATHs Means For Bitcoin
The 50-month moving average making new all-time highs, generally means the primary trend is still up. The chart above shows the long-term uptrend clearly without the noise of candlesticks or price action. With the candlesticks turned back on, Bitcoin is above the span — another bullish sign.
BTCUSD closed above the 50MA back in March 2023 and has since held above it for several months. Notably, Bitcoin lost this level for the first time back in June 2022. Meanwhile, the top cryptocurrency bottomed precisely at the 50MA in 2018 and again in 2020.
The 50MA is currently at $26,353 and could act as support for retested. If lost, it could be a sign the longer-term trend is turning bearish. The 200-week moving average, another similar high timeframe price indicator that is used widely in technical analysis, is also at a similar level and trending upwards.